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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 5 Apr 2026

12:30

Venue

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SC Paderborn 07 Win

33%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

3.00

27%

Draw

3.76

40%

SC Paderborn 07

2.49

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.8%

Away win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

Total xG

2.87

1.51

SC Paderborn 07 xG

33%
27%
40%
SpVgg Greuther FürthDrawSC Paderborn 07

3.00

33%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

2.49

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.70

41%

BTTS No

2.42

Clean Sheet

22%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4.53

26%

SC Paderborn 07

3.89

Win to Nil

7%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

13.59

10%

SC Paderborn 07

9.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 8.6 6.5 3.3 1.2 0.4
1 7.7 11.6 8.8 4.4 1.7 0.5
2 5.2 7.9 6.0 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 2.4 3.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.2
4 0.8 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.359
λ Away (xG) 1.510
Total xG 2.869
League avg home goals 1.609
League avg away goals 1.326
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 1.022
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.157
SC Paderborn 07 attack strength 0.984
SC Paderborn 07 defence strength 0.826
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61