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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

12:30

Venue

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win

40%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

2.48

27%

Draw

3.74

33%

1. FC Nürnberg

3.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.9%

Home win

1 – 0

7.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

Total xG

3.00

1.42

1. FC Nürnberg xG

40%
27%
33%
SpVgg Greuther FürthDraw1. FC Nürnberg

2.48

40%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

3.04

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

62%

BTTS Yes

1.62

38%

BTTS No

2.60

Clean Sheet

24%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4.12

20%

1. FC Nürnberg

4.89

Win to Nil

10%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

10.22

7%

1. FC Nürnberg

14.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 7.0 5.0 2.3 0.8 0.2
1 7.9 11.1 7.9 3.7 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 8.9 6.3 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 3.3 4.7 3.3 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 1.3 1.9 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.588
λ Away (xG) 1.417
Total xG 3.005
League avg home goals 1.570
League avg away goals 1.289
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 1.009
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.189
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 0.924
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 1.002
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 65