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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

19:30

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hamburger SV Win

52%

Hamburger SV

1.91

27%

Draw

3.76

21%

SSV Ulm 1846

4.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.67

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

2.66

0.99

SSV Ulm 1846 xG

52%
27%
21%
Hamburger SVDrawSSV Ulm 1846

1.91

52%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

4.74

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.09

Clean Sheet

37%

Hamburger SV

2.69

19%

SSV Ulm 1846

5.33

Win to Nil

19%

Hamburger SV

5.13

4%

SSV Ulm 1846

25.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 6.9 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.7 11.5 5.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.8 9.7 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.5 5.4 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.674
λ Away (xG) 0.988
Total xG 2.662
League avg home goals 1.439
League avg away goals 1.307
Hamburger SV attack strength 1.207
Hamburger SV defence strength 1.073
SSV Ulm 1846 attack strength 0.705
SSV Ulm 1846 defence strength 0.964
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 32