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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

12:00

Venue

Volksparkstadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Hamburger SV Win

51%

Hamburger SV

1.97

25%

Draw

4.01

24%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

2 – 0

6.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.04

Hamburger SV xG

Total xG

3.44

1.40

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

51%
25%
24%
Hamburger SVDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth

1.97

51%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

4.11

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.49

33%

BTTS No

3.05

Clean Sheet

25%

Hamburger SV

4.03

13%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

7.70

Win to Nil

13%

Hamburger SV

7.96

3%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

31.60

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 4.5 3.1 1.5 0.5 0.1
1 6.6 9.2 6.4 3.0 1.0 0.3
2 6.7 9.4 6.5 3.0 1.1 0.3
3 4.6 6.4 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 2.3 3.2 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.041
λ Away (xG) 1.395
Total xG 3.436
League avg home goals 1.526
League avg away goals 1.566
Hamburger SV attack strength 1.243
Hamburger SV defence strength 0.887
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 1.004
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.075
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50