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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 10 May 2026

12:30

Venue

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

SV Elversberg Win

32%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3.13

25%

Draw

3.93

43%

SV Elversberg

2.34

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

2 – 1

7.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

Total xG

3.28

1.77

SV Elversberg xG

32%
25%
43%
Fortuna DüsseldorfDrawSV Elversberg

3.13

32%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

2.34

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

64%

Over 2.5

1.56

36%

Under 2.5

2.78

42%

Over 3.5

2.38

58%

Under 3.5

1.72

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.93

Clean Sheet

17%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

5.85

22%

SV Elversberg

4.54

Win to Nil

5%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

18.34

9%

SV Elversberg

10.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.8 6.7 5.9 3.5 1.5 0.5
1 5.7 10.1 8.9 5.2 2.3 0.8
2 4.3 7.6 6.7 4.0 1.7 0.6
3 2.2 3.8 3.4 2.0 0.9 0.3
4 0.8 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.512
λ Away (xG) 1.767
Total xG 3.279
League avg home goals 1.605
League avg away goals 1.270
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 0.943
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 1.177
SV Elversberg attack strength 1.182
SV Elversberg defence strength 0.999
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66