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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

12:00

Venue

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Fortuna Düsseldorf Win

46%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

2.15

25%

Draw

3.99

28%

SSV Ulm 1846

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.73

Fortuna Düsseldorf xG

Total xG

3.04

1.31

SSV Ulm 1846 xG

46%
25%
28%
Fortuna DüsseldorfDrawSSV Ulm 1846

2.15

46%

Home win

3.99

25%

Draw

3.51

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.55

Clean Sheet

27%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

3.71

18%

SSV Ulm 1846

5.62

Win to Nil

13%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

7.99

5%

SSV Ulm 1846

19.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 6.3 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 8.3 10.8 7.1 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.4 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.1 5.4 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.727
λ Away (xG) 1.312
Total xG 3.039
League avg home goals 1.508
League avg away goals 1.502
Fortuna Düsseldorf attack strength 1.131
Fortuna Düsseldorf defence strength 1.210
SSV Ulm 1846 attack strength 0.723
SSV Ulm 1846 defence strength 1.012
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 19