Eintracht Braunschweig 2-2 SV Darmstadt 98 – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates SV Darmstadt 98 at 47% — recent form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
SV Darmstadt 98 travel to Eintracht-Stadion to take on Eintracht Braunschweig in 2. Bundesliga (matchday 22). The game is scheduled for Saturday 14 February 2026 at 12:00 UK time.
Form Analysis
Looking at their last 10 matches, Eintracht Braunschweig stand at 4W 2D 4L — 1.40 PPG. Last five: W L D W L. They are averaging 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.30 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings (30%).
Eintracht Braunschweig's home record over their last 10 home games: 3W 2D 5L (1.10 PPG). At home they are averaging 0.90 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game.
SV Darmstadt 98 — last 10 games: 6W 4D 0L — 2.20 PPG. Last five: D D W D W. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.40 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 4 clean sheets in 10 outings (40%) underlines their defensive solidity. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market.
On the road, SV Darmstadt 98 have gone 3W 5D 2L in their last 10 away fixtures (1.40 PPG). Away from home they average 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their away games — meaningful support for the Yes angle in this specific context. Their away PPG of 1.40 is notably below their overall 2.20 — form away from home has been a clear weakness recently.
Despite the home advantage, the form figures favour SV Darmstadt 98 — 0.80 PPG ahead of the hosts (2.20 vs 1.40). That gap is large enough to take seriously. Draw No Bet on the visitors neutralises home-ground risk while maintaining the form-backed selection.
H2H
The H2H picture is flat: the 5 H2H matches we hold have produced 1 wins for Eintracht Braunschweig, 3 for SV Darmstadt 98 and 1 draw. Form and model data should carry more weight here.
The 5 H2H matches in our data averaged 2.0 goals per game — a neutral rate that gives no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent of those, on 13 Sep 2025, ended Eintracht Braunschweig 1–2 SV Darmstadt 98 — a SV Darmstadt 98 win.
The head-to-head data offers no strong steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the model and current market pricing should carry more weight for this fixture.
In-Play Profile
Eintracht Braunschweig in-play tendencies (last 55 games, 27 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 70% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 73% of the time; of the 14 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 29%; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 52% of games (home games).
SV Darmstadt 98 in-play tendencies (last 55 games, 27 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 59% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 78% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; of the 16 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 44%; of the 14 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 57%; BTTS occurs in 74% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 70% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 44%.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — Eintracht Braunschweig 56% versus SV Darmstadt 98 62%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (Eintracht Braunschweig 53% | SV Darmstadt 98 62%). There is an in-play dynamic worth noting: Eintracht Braunschweig surrender their half-time lead 29% of the time, while SV Darmstadt 98 have come from behind at the break to draw or win in 57% of cases — a combination that makes laying the hosts at HT a potential angle.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Eintracht Braunschweig 1.25 xG and SV Darmstadt 98 1.75 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.763 / defence 1.085 | SV Darmstadt 98 attack 1.202 / defence 1.089. League average goals — home 1.502 / away 1.340. Eintracht Braunschweig's attack rating of 0.763 is below the league average, which holds their xG down at 1.25. SV Darmstadt 98 have an above-average attack rating of 1.202, which lifts their away xG to 1.75. Data: built from Eintracht Braunschweig's last 55 games and SV Darmstadt 98's last 55.
Result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 26% | Draw 27% | SV Darmstadt 98 47%. Fair-value odds: Eintracht Braunschweig 3.89 | Draw 3.73 | SV Darmstadt 98 2.11. SV Darmstadt 98 hold a narrow Poisson edge at 47% — the draw (27%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 58% | BTTS Yes probability 60% | Total xG 2.99. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 58% — the 2.99 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 60% — both xG figures (1.25 / 1.75) are high enough that each side is projected to find the net.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates SV Darmstadt 98 as the most likely outcome at 47% — moderate model lean. Recent form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 27% draw probability, Draw No Bet on SV Darmstadt 98 offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
Poisson projects 2.99 total expected goals, pointing to Over 2.5 at 58% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by recent form (Eintracht Braunschweig's last 10 home games and SV Darmstadt 98's last 10 away games) averaging 2.8 goals per game.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is Yes at 60%. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: Eintracht Braunschweig 50% (last 10 home games) | SV Darmstadt 98 60% (last 10 away games).
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, matchday 22 | Venue: Eintracht-Stadion • Kick-off: Saturday 14 February 2026 at 12:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Eintracht Braunschweig 26% | Draw 27% | SV Darmstadt 98 47% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 58% (Under 42%) | BTTS Yes 60% (No 40%) | xG Eintracht Braunschweig 1.25 / SV Darmstadt 98 1.75 • Poisson strength factors: Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.763 / def 1.085 | SV Darmstadt 98 attack 1.202 / def 1.089 | league avg home 1.502 / away 1.340 • Poisson stance: SV Darmstadt 98 (47%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.25
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Expected Goals
1.75
SV Darmstadt 98 xG
60%
BTTS
82%
Over 1.5
58%
Over 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 FAQs
What time does Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 kick off?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 kicked off at 12:00 UK time on Saturday 14 February 2026 at Eintracht-Stadion.
What was the final score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Eintracht Braunschweig 2 - 2 SV Darmstadt 98.
Where is Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 being played?
The match is being played at Eintracht-Stadion.
What competition is Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 part of?
Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 is a 2. Bundesliga fixture (matchday 22) (Germany).
Who is favourite to win Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Our statistical model gives Eintracht Braunschweig a 26% chance of winning, SV Darmstadt 98 a 47% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making SV Darmstadt 98 the favourite.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Our model estimates a 60% probability that both Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 58%, so it leans towards over 2.5 goals.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
Eintracht Braunschweig's attacking strength (0.76x league average) is weighed against SV Darmstadt 98's defensive record (1.09x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.25. The same calculation in reverse, SV Darmstadt 98's attack versus Eintracht Braunschweig's defence, projects 1.75 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from Eintracht Braunschweig's last 55 games and SV Darmstadt 98's last 55 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 12.3%. Close behind: 1-2 (9.5%), 0-2 (7.6%). Together the top three scorelines make up 30% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
SV Darmstadt 98 Win
26%
3.89
27%
3.73
47%
2.11
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 2
9.5%
Away win
0 – 1
8.8%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.25
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
Total xG
2.99
1.75
SV Darmstadt 98 xG
3.89
26%
Home win
3.73
27%
Draw
2.11
47%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
58%
Over 2.5
1.72
42%
Under 2.5
2.38
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
60%
BTTS Yes
1.65
40%
BTTS No
2.53
Clean Sheet
17%
5.73
29%
3.48
Win to Nil
4%
22.28
14%
7.33
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0 | 8.8 | 7.6 | 4.4 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 1 | 6.3 | 10.9 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 3.9 | 6.8 | 5.9 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 12.3%.
How many goals are Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 expected to score?
The model projects 1.25 expected goals for Eintracht Braunschweig and 1.75 for SV Darmstadt 98, a combined total of 2.99.
How confident is the prediction model for Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 47%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 55 outings, Eintracht Braunschweig have picked up 1.15 PPG on a 16W 15D 24L record — W-L-D-W-L across the most recent five.
SV Darmstadt 98's form line: 22W 17D 16L from 55 games, 1.51 PPG, last five D-D-W-D-W.
Form-wise this is close to level: Eintracht Braunschweig on 1.15 PPG, SV Darmstadt 98 on 1.51. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
On home soil, Eintracht Braunschweig have posted 1.41 PPG from their last 27 home games (10W 8D 9L).
On the road, SV Darmstadt 98 have gone 6W 10D 11L from their last 27 away games — 1.04 PPG when travelling. That's a step down from their 1.51 PPG overall record — away form has been the weaker part of SV Darmstadt 98's recent record.
The Goals Picture
Eintracht Braunschweig are averaging 1.15 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game recently; SV Darmstadt 98 are on 1.75 scored and 1.40 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: SV Darmstadt 98 in 62%.
Last 55 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Eintracht Braunschweig
Blended
SV Darmstadt 98
Blended
Eintracht Braunschweig (Home) vs SV Darmstadt 98 (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
Eintracht Braunschweig
Blended
SV Darmstadt 98
Blended
❓ Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 Form FAQs
What form are Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 in coming into this match?
Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 16W 15D 24L in their last 55 games (1.15 PPG), while SV Darmstadt 98 have gone 22W 17D 16L in their last 55 (1.51 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — Eintracht Braunschweig at home or SV Darmstadt 98 away?
Eintracht Braunschweig's home record (1.41 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — Eintracht Braunschweig at home: 1.41 PPG; SV Darmstadt 98 away: 1.04 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The head-to-head numbers here are drawn from the 6 H2H matches in our data, going back to August 2022. All of them came in 2. Bundesliga. The most recent was on 14 February 2026, roughly 9 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
Eintracht Braunschweig's record when hosting SV Darmstadt 98 specifically: 1W 1D 1L from 3 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 6 Meetings
1
Eintracht Braunschweig
2
Draws
3
SV Darmstadt 98
Recent Meetings
❓ Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98?
Across the 6 head-to-head matches in our data, Eintracht Braunschweig have won 1, SV Darmstadt 98 have won 3, and 2 have been drawn.
When did Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 14 February 2026: Eintracht Braunschweig 2-2 SV Darmstadt 98.
Who has won more matches between Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98?
SV Darmstadt 98 have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from the 6 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Eintracht Braunschweig are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 70% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 26% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 11% of those situations.
SV Darmstadt 98 see a goal before the break in 59% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 67% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — Eintracht Braunschweig 56%, SV Darmstadt 98 74% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 52% for Eintracht Braunschweig and 70% for SV Darmstadt 98. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 30% and 48% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Eintracht Braunschweig home games / SV Darmstadt 98 away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Eintracht Braunschweig vs SV Darmstadt 98 Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 56% of Eintracht Braunschweig's games and 74% of SV Darmstadt 98's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 matches usually high-scoring?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 52% of Eintracht Braunschweig's matches and 70% of SV Darmstadt 98's.
Do Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 70% of Eintracht Braunschweig's recent matches and 59% of SV Darmstadt 98's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Eintracht Braunschweig and SV Darmstadt 98 finished level at 2-2 at Eintracht-Stadion, Regular Season - 22, in the 2. Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Eintracht Braunschweig 1.25 xG and SV Darmstadt 98 1.75 xG, a combined 2.99. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Eintracht Braunschweig attack 0.76 / defence 1.08 against SV Darmstadt 98 attack 1.20 / defence 1.09, drawn from 55/55 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Eintracht Braunschweig 26% | Draw 27% | SV Darmstadt 98 47%, with SV Darmstadt 98 to win its most likely call at 47%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 27%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 58%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 82% and landed. Over 3.5 was 35% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 60% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 57% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Eintracht Braunschweig 53%, SV Darmstadt 98 62%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 59%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (55 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did.
SV Darmstadt 98's trading profile (55 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 62% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — Eintracht Braunschweig 1.15 PPG, SV Darmstadt 98 1.51 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.
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