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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

2. Bundesliga · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 7 Dec 2025

12:30

Venue

Max-Morlock-Stadion

Competition

2. Bundesliga

Germany

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

1. FC Nürnberg Win

54%

1. FC Nürnberg

1.87

21%

Draw

4.66

25%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

4.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.4%

Draw

2 – 0

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

1. FC Nürnberg xG

Total xG

3.35

1.33

SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG

54%
21%
25%
1. FC NürnbergDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth

1.87

54%

Home win

4.66

21%

Draw

4.00

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

65%

Over 2.5

1.54

35%

Under 2.5

2.86

43%

Over 3.5

2.33

57%

Under 3.5

1.75

25%

Over 4.5

4.00

75%

Under 4.5

1.33

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

64%

BTTS Yes

1.57

36%

BTTS No

2.76

Clean Sheet

26%

1. FC Nürnberg

3.78

13%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

7.57

Win to Nil

14%

1. FC Nürnberg

7.06

3%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

30.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.5 4.6 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 7.1 9.4 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
2 7.2 9.5 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.2
3 4.8 6.4 4.3 1.9 0.6 0.2
4 2.4 3.2 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.024
λ Away (xG) 1.330
Total xG 3.354
League avg home goals 1.455
League avg away goals 1.281
1. FC Nürnberg attack strength 0.913
1. FC Nürnberg defence strength 0.926
SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack strength 1.120
SpVgg Greuther Fürth defence strength 1.524
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48