1. FC Magdeburg 2-1 Eintracht Braunschweig – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates 1. FC Magdeburg at 53%, yet other data sources diverge — this 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A 2. Bundesliga encounter, Regular Season - 2 sees Eintracht Braunschweig travel to MDCC-Arena to take on 1. FC Magdeburg. The game is scheduled for Sunday 6 August 2023, 12:30 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, 1. FC Magdeburg stand at 4W 4D 2L from 10 2. Bundesliga matches — 1.60 PPG. Last five: D D L W D. Offensively they are averaging 1.80 goals per game, with 1.10 conceded. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. 1. FC Magdeburg have played only a handful of 2. Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
At home at MDCC-Arena, 1. FC Magdeburg have gone 4W 3D 3L this season (10 games, 1.50 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground.
Eintracht Braunschweig — All Games: 3W 2D 5L from 10 2. Bundesliga fixtures this season — 1.10 PPG. Last five: W D L L L. Their scoring rate of 1.20 per game is modest, conceding 1.70 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches this season — one of the stronger BTTS rates in the division, making Yes a well-evidenced play. Eintracht Braunschweig have played only a handful of 2. Bundesliga games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
On the road, Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 1W 3D 6L from 10 away fixtures this term (0.60 PPG). Away from home they average 1.20 goals scored and 2.30 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 90% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture. Their away PPG of 0.60 is notably below their overall 1.10 — form away from home has been a clear weakness this season.
1. FC Magdeburg are in the better shape of the two on current 2. Bundesliga data — 0.50 PPG ahead (1.60 vs 1.10). That form margin is the baseline of a sensible selection even before other signals are layered in.
Head to Head
The rivalry is an even one: 1 wins apiece for 1. FC Magdeburg, 1 for Eintracht Braunschweig and 0 shared spoils from 2 past contests. Neither side holds a meaningful historical edge.
The 2 previous meetings have averaged 2.5 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 22 Apr 2023, ended 2–1 with 1. FC Magdeburg winning.
The head-to-head offers no strong directional steer in either the result or goals markets. Form, the predictive model and current market pricing should carry more weight than the historical record for this fixture.
Trading Patterns
1. FC Magdeburg in-play and half-time data (35 games, 17 at home): they score before half-time in 76% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 80% of the time; BTTS occurs in 53% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 59% of games (home games).
Eintracht Braunschweig in-play and half-time data (35 games, 17 at away): they score before half-time in 59% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 94% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 67% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 76% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 65% of games (away games).
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — 1. FC Magdeburg 60% and Eintracht Braunschweig 63% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (1. FC Magdeburg 66% | Eintracht Braunschweig 57%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects 1. FC Magdeburg 1.93 xG and Eintracht Braunschweig 1.25 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: 1. FC Magdeburg attack 1.094 / defence 0.953 | Eintracht Braunschweig attack 1.011 / defence 1.133. League average goals — home 1.552 / away 1.296. Data: 35 1. FC Magdeburg games / 35 Eintracht Braunschweig games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: 1. FC Magdeburg 53% | Draw 22% | Eintracht Braunschweig 25%. Fair-value odds: 1. FC Magdeburg 1.89 | Draw 4.55 | Eintracht Braunschweig 4.00. 1. FC Magdeburg hold a narrow Poisson edge at 53% — the draw (22%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 61% | BTTS probability 61% | Total xG 3.17. Over 2.5 holds a meaningful probability edge at 61% — the 3.17 total xG provides moderate support, though the model is not projecting a high-scoring game. BTTS Yes at 61% reflects that both xG figures (1.93 / 1.25) are above the threshold where scoring blanks become the primary outcome — both sides are projected to find the net.
Summary & Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is 1. FC Magdeburg at 53% — moderate model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 22% draw probability, Draw No Bet on 1. FC Magdeburg offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win.
The Poisson model projects 3.17 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 61% — reasonable confidence, supported by form averaging 3.1 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 61% on Yes. Form rates corroborate: 1. FC Magdeburg 50% | Eintracht Braunschweig 90% BTTS from recent games.
The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (35 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig | Competition: 2. Bundesliga, Regular Season - 2 | Venue: MDCC-Arena • Kick-off: Sunday 6 Aug 2023, 12:30 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: 1. FC Magdeburg 53% | Draw 22% | Eintracht Braunschweig 25% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 61% | BTTS 61% | xG 1. FC Magdeburg 1.93 / Eintracht Braunschweig 1.25 • Poisson strength factors: 1. FC Magdeburg attack 1.094 / def 0.953 | Eintracht Braunschweig attack 1.011 / def 1.133 | league avg home 1.552 / away 1.296 • Poisson stance: 1. FC Magdeburg (53%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.93
1. FC Magdeburg xG
Expected Goals
1.25
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
61%
BTTS
83%
Over 1.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig kick off?
1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig kicked off at 12:30 on Sunday 6 August 2023 at MDCC-Arena.
What was the final score in 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
1. FC Magdeburg 2 - 1 Eintracht Braunschweig.
Where is 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig being played?
The match is being played at MDCC-Arena.
What competition is 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig part of?
1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig is a Regular Season - 2 fixture in the 2. Bundesliga (Germany).
Who is favourite to win 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our statistical model gives 1. FC Magdeburg a 53% chance of winning, Eintracht Braunschweig a 25% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw — making 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite.
Will both teams score in 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our model estimates a 61% probability that both 1. FC Magdeburg and Eintracht Braunschweig will score (BTTS).
Will 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 61%.
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Magdeburg and Eintracht Braunschweig?
Record (2 meetings): 1. FC Magdeburg 1W | Draws 0 | Eintracht Braunschweig 1W.
What form are 1. FC Magdeburg and Eintracht Braunschweig in?
1. FC Magdeburg (all comps): 4W-4D-2L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.80 / GA 1.10 | L5 D-D-L-W-D. Eintracht Braunschweig (all comps): 3W-2D-5L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 1.20 / GA 1.70 | L5 W-D-L-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates 1. FC Magdeburg's attack at 1.09x the league average against Eintracht Braunschweig's defence at 1.13x — combine the two and it projects 1.93 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Eintracht Braunschweig's attack versus 1. FC Magdeburg's defence, projects 1.25 expected goals for the visitors.
The sample (35/35 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 1-1 carries the highest individual probability at 11.4% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 2-1 (9.7%), 2-0 (7.8%). Together the top three scorelines make up 29% of the probability — a moderately spread distribution, typical of a competitive match-up.
Most Likely Outcome
1. FC Magdeburg Win
53%
1.88
22%
4.51
25%
4.06
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.1%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.7%
Home win
1 – 0
8.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.93
1. FC Magdeburg xG
Total xG
3.17
1.25
Eintracht Braunschweig xG
1.88
53%
Home win
4.51
22%
Draw
4.06
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
83%
Over 1.5
1.20
17%
Under 1.5
5.88
61%
Over 2.5
1.64
39%
Under 2.5
2.56
39%
Over 3.5
2.56
61%
Under 3.5
1.64
21%
Over 4.5
4.76
79%
Under 4.5
1.27
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
61%
BTTS Yes
1.64
39%
BTTS No
2.56
Clean Sheet
29%
3.48
15%
6.86
Win to Nil
15%
6.55
4%
27.80
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.1 | 10.1 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.8 | 9.7 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.0 | 6.2 | 3.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.4 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 11.4%.
How many goals are 1. FC Magdeburg and Eintracht Braunschweig expected to score?
The model projects 1.93 expected goals for 1. FC Magdeburg and 1.25 for Eintracht Braunschweig, a combined total of 3.17.
How confident is the prediction model for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 53%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Across their last 35 outings, 1. FC Magdeburg have picked up 1.26 PPG on a 12W 8D 15L record — D-D-L-W-D across the most recent five. It's still early in the season for 1. FC Magdeburg, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Eintracht Braunschweig's form line: 9W 9D 17L from 35 games, 1.03 PPG, last five W-D-L-L-L. It's still early in the season for Eintracht Braunschweig, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Form-wise this is close to level: 1. FC Magdeburg on 1.26 PPG, Eintracht Braunschweig on 1.03. Other factors will likely decide this one more than recent results.
Home Ground vs the Road
On home soil, 1. FC Magdeburg have posted 1.29 PPG from 17 outings (6W 4D 7L).
On the road, Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 2W 6D 9L from 17 away games — 0.71 PPG when travelling.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, 1. FC Magdeburg come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
1. FC Magdeburg are averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game recently; Eintracht Braunschweig are on 1.20 scored and 1.71 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: 1. FC Magdeburg have seen both teams score in 60% of their recent games; Eintracht Braunschweig in 63%.
Last 35 Results — 2. Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
1. FC Magdeburg
Early Season
Eintracht Braunschweig
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are 1. FC Magdeburg and Eintracht Braunschweig in coming into this match?
1. FC Magdeburg have gone 12W 8D 15L in their last 35 games (1.26 PPG), while Eintracht Braunschweig have gone 9W 9D 17L in their last 35 (1.03 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — 1. FC Magdeburg at home or Eintracht Braunschweig away?
1. FC Magdeburg's home record (1.29 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — 1. FC Magdeburg at home: 1.29 PPG; Eintracht Braunschweig away: 0.71 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between 1. FC Magdeburg and Eintracht Braunschweig runs to 9 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to October 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in 2. Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 8 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Digging Into the Numbers
The biggest gap between the sides came on 8 Aug 2026, when Eintracht Braunschweig won 1-6 — the largest margin of victory on record between these two.
1. FC Magdeburg's record when hosting Eintracht Braunschweig specifically: 1W 1D 3L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 9 Meetings
4
1. FC Magdeburg
1
Draws
4
Eintracht Braunschweig
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Magdeburg and Eintracht Braunschweig?
From 9 meetings on record, 1. FC Magdeburg have won 4, Eintracht Braunschweig have won 4, and 1 have been drawn.
When did 1. FC Magdeburg and Eintracht Braunschweig last play each other?
They last met on 8 August 2026, when 1. FC Magdeburg 1-6 Eintracht Braunschweig.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
1. FC Magdeburg are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 76% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 29% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
Eintracht Braunschweig see a goal before the break in 59% of their matches.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — 1. FC Magdeburg 53%, Eintracht Braunschweig 76% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 59% for 1. FC Magdeburg and 65% for Eintracht Braunschweig. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 24% and 35% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = 1. FC Magdeburg home games / Eintracht Braunschweig away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when 1. FC Magdeburg play Eintracht Braunschweig?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 53% of 1. FC Magdeburg's games and 76% of Eintracht Braunschweig's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is 1. FC Magdeburg vs Eintracht Braunschweig usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 59% of 1. FC Magdeburg's matches and 65% of Eintracht Braunschweig's.
Do 1. FC Magdeburg and Eintracht Braunschweig tend to score early?
1. FC Magdeburg have had a goal before half-time in 76% of their recent matches, Eintracht Braunschweig in 59% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Prediction vindicated as 1. FC Magdeburg edge out Eintracht Braunschweig 2-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
1. FC Magdeburg beat Eintracht Braunschweig 2-1 at MDCC-Arena, Regular Season - 2, in the 2. Bundesliga. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting 1. FC Magdeburg 1.93 xG and Eintracht Braunschweig 1.25 xG, a combined 3.17. The scoreboard read 2-1 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of 1. FC Magdeburg attack 1.09 / defence 0.95 against Eintracht Braunschweig attack 1.01 / defence 1.13, drawn from 35/35 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it 1. FC Magdeburg 53% | Draw 22% | Eintracht Braunschweig 25%, with 1. FC Magdeburg to win its most likely call at 53%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 61%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 83% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 61% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 61% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (1. FC Magdeburg 66%, Eintracht Braunschweig 57%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which matched the both-scored outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
1. FC Magdeburg's trading profile (35 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 60% of their matches — today it did.
Eintracht Braunschweig's trading profile (35 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 63% of their matches — today it did.
Form vs Result
The form lines were close — 1. FC Magdeburg 1.26 PPG, Eintracht Braunschweig 1.03 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the 1. FC Magdeburg win broke the near-deadlock.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A strong night for the model: the result sat comfortably inside what the pre-match data projected.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.