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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 27 Sep 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Saint Etienne Win

47%

Saint Etienne

2.13

22%

Draw

4.63

32%

Guingamp

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

8.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.7%

Home win

1 – 2

7.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.99

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

3.59

1.60

Guingamp xG

47%
22%
32%
Saint EtienneDrawGuingamp

2.13

47%

Home win

4.63

22%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

70%

Over 2.5

1.43

30%

Under 2.5

3.33

48%

Over 3.5

2.08

52%

Under 3.5

1.92

29%

Over 4.5

3.45

71%

Under 4.5

1.41

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.22

Clean Sheet

20%

Saint Etienne

4.97

14%

Guingamp

7.28

Win to Nil

9%

Saint Etienne

10.61

4%

Guingamp

23.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.8 4.4 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.2
1 5.5 8.8 7.1 3.8 1.5 0.5
2 5.4 8.7 7.0 3.7 1.5 0.5
3 3.6 5.8 4.6 2.5 1.0 0.3
4 1.8 2.9 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.985
λ Away (xG) 1.604
Total xG 3.589
League avg home goals 1.275
League avg away goals 1.233
Saint Etienne attack strength 1.246
Saint Etienne defence strength 1.089
Guingamp attack strength 1.194
Guingamp defence strength 1.249
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 7 / 41