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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Saint Etienne Win

48%

Saint Etienne

2.09

30%

Draw

3.35

22%

Estac Troyes

4.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Saint Etienne xG

Total xG

2.57

1.01

Estac Troyes xG

48%
30%
22%
Saint EtienneDrawEstac Troyes

2.09

48%

Home win

3.35

30%

Draw

4.48

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

36%

Saint Etienne

2.75

21%

Estac Troyes

4.77

Win to Nil

17%

Saint Etienne

5.75

5%

Estac Troyes

21.35

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.6 7.7 3.9 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 11.9 12.1 6.1 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.3 9.4 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.8 4.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
4 1.9 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.562
λ Away (xG) 1.012
Total xG 2.574
League avg home goals 1.221
League avg away goals 1.172
Saint Etienne attack strength 1.310
Saint Etienne defence strength 0.870
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.993
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.976
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 65