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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

13:00

Venue

Stade Bauer

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

31%

RED Star FC 93

3.27

37%

Draw

2.71

32%

Bastia

3.08

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

17.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

15.5%

Away win

1 – 0

14.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.86

RED Star FC 93 xG

Total xG

1.75

0.89

Bastia xG

31%
37%
32%
RED Star FC 93DrawBastia

3.27

31%

Home win

2.71

37%

Draw

3.08

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

52%

Over 1.5

1.92

48%

Under 1.5

2.08

26%

Over 2.5

3.85

74%

Under 2.5

1.35

10%

Over 3.5

10.00

90%

Under 3.5

1.11

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.80

64%

BTTS No

1.56

Clean Sheet

41%

RED Star FC 93

2.44

42%

Bastia

2.36

Win to Nil

13%

RED Star FC 93

7.98

14%

Bastia

7.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 17.3 15.5 6.9 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 14.9 13.3 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 6.4 5.7 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 1.8 1.6 0.7 0.2
4 0.4 0.4 0.2
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.859
λ Away (xG) 0.893
Total xG 1.752
League avg home goals 1.159
League avg away goals 1.142
RED Star FC 93 attack strength 0.791
RED Star FC 93 defence strength 0.886
Bastia attack strength 0.882
Bastia defence strength 0.937
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62