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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Fri 17 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

Nouste Camp

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guingamp Win

28%

PAU

3.56

29%

Draw

3.46

43%

Guingamp

2.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

1 – 2

9.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

PAU xG

Total xG

2.76

1.54

Guingamp xG

28%
29%
43%
PAUDrawGuingamp

3.56

28%

Home win

3.46

29%

Draw

2.33

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.34

Clean Sheet

21%

PAU

4.69

30%

Guingamp

3.38

Win to Nil

6%

PAU

16.68

13%

Guingamp

7.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 9.8 7.5 3.9 1.5 0.5
1 7.7 11.9 9.2 4.7 1.8 0.6
2 4.7 7.2 5.6 2.9 1.1 0.3
3 1.9 2.9 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.217
λ Away (xG) 1.545
Total xG 2.762
League avg home goals 1.180
League avg away goals 1.143
PAU attack strength 0.971
PAU defence strength 1.338
Guingamp attack strength 1.010
Guingamp defence strength 1.062
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64