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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Fri 7 Mar 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Nouste Camp

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

34%

PAU

2.98

30%

Draw

3.31

36%

Estac Troyes

2.75

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.4%

Away win

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

PAU xG

Total xG

2.07

1.06

Estac Troyes xG

34%
30%
36%
PAUDrawEstac Troyes

2.98

34%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

2.75

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

35%

PAU

2.90

36%

Estac Troyes

2.74

Win to Nil

12%

PAU

8.64

13%

Estac Troyes

7.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.6 13.4 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
1 12.7 13.5 7.2 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 6.4 6.8 3.6 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 2.2 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.009
λ Away (xG) 1.063
Total xG 2.072
League avg home goals 1.234
League avg away goals 1.061
PAU attack strength 0.875
PAU defence strength 1.092
Estac Troyes attack strength 0.918
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.935
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 63 / 63