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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Fri 24 Oct 2025

19:00

Venue

Nouste Camp

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

PAU Win

48%

PAU

2.09

28%

Draw

3.60

24%

Dunkerque

4.10

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.36

PAU xG

Total xG

2.24

0.88

Dunkerque xG

48%
28%
24%
PAUDrawDunkerque

2.09

48%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

4.10

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

41%

PAU

2.42

26%

Dunkerque

3.89

Win to Nil

20%

PAU

5.06

6%

Dunkerque

15.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 9.4 4.2 1.2 0.3
1 14.4 12.8 5.6 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 8.7 3.8 1.1 0.2
3 4.4 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.358
λ Away (xG) 0.884
Total xG 2.242
League avg home goals 1.207
League avg away goals 1.285
PAU attack strength 1.121
PAU defence strength 0.904
Dunkerque attack strength 0.761
Dunkerque defence strength 1.003
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44