PAU vs Ajaccio – Predictions
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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
PAU Win
59%
1.70
26%
3.78
15%
6.72
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
18.7%
Home win
Most likely
2 – 0
13.7%
Home win
0 – 0
12.7%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.47
PAU xG
Total xG
2.06
0.59
Ajaccio xG
PAUDrawAjaccio
1.70
59%
Home win
3.78
26%
Draw
6.72
15%
Away win
Goals Markets
61%
Over 1.5
1.64
39%
Under 1.5
2.56
34%
Over 2.5
2.94
66%
Under 2.5
1.52
15%
Over 3.5
6.67
85%
Under 3.5
1.18
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
34%
BTTS Yes
2.91
66%
BTTS No
1.52
Clean Sheet
55%
1.81
23%
4.35
Win to Nil
32%
3.08
3%
29.24
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.7 | 7.5 | 2.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 1 | 18.7 | 11.1 | 3.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 2 | 13.7 | 8.1 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 6.7 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.471
λ Away (xG)
0.592
Total xG
2.063
League avg home goals
1.352
League avg away goals
0.998
PAU attack strength
1.043
PAU defence strength
0.894
Ajaccio attack strength
0.664
Ajaccio defence strength
1.042
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
53 / 53