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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

13:00

Venue

Stade Charléty

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris FC Win

64%

Paris FC

1.57

21%

Draw

4.86

16%

Bastia

6.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 0

11.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.02

Paris FC xG

Total xG

2.90

0.88

Bastia xG

64%
21%
16%
Paris FCDrawBastia

1.57

64%

Home win

4.86

21%

Draw

6.43

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.97

49%

BTTS No

2.03

Clean Sheet

41%

Paris FC

2.42

13%

Bastia

7.55

Win to Nil

26%

Paris FC

3.78

2%

Bastia

48.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 4.8 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.1 9.8 4.3 1.3 0.3
2 11.2 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3
3 7.5 6.7 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 3.8 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
5 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.021
λ Away (xG) 0.882
Total xG 2.903
League avg home goals 1.407
League avg away goals 1.108
Paris FC attack strength 1.329
Paris FC defence strength 0.982
Bastia attack strength 0.810
Bastia defence strength 1.081
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68