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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Sat 6 Dec 2025

13:00

Venue

Stade de la Mosson

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Montpellier Win

49%

Montpellier

2.03

23%

Draw

4.30

27%

PAU

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

1 – 0

8.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Montpellier xG

Total xG

3.04

1.27

PAU xG

49%
23%
27%
MontpellierDrawPAU

2.03

49%

Home win

4.30

23%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.68

40%

BTTS No

2.48

Clean Sheet

28%

Montpellier

3.55

17%

PAU

5.90

Win to Nil

14%

Montpellier

7.20

5%

PAU

21.55

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 6.0 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
1 8.5 10.7 6.8 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.5 6.0 2.6 0.8 0.2
3 4.4 5.6 3.6 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 2.0 2.5 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.775
λ Away (xG) 1.268
Total xG 3.043
League avg home goals 1.270
League avg away goals 1.205
Montpellier attack strength 1.033
Montpellier defence strength 1.003
PAU attack strength 1.049
PAU defence strength 1.353
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 49