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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Mon 15 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade de Roudourou

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guingamp Win

39%

Guingamp

2.55

25%

Draw

3.95

36%

Montpellier

2.82

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.6%

Home win

1 – 0

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Guingamp xG

Total xG

2.86

1.39

Montpellier xG

39%
25%
36%
GuingampDrawMontpellier

2.55

39%

Home win

3.95

25%

Draw

2.82

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

25%

Guingamp

4.01

23%

Montpellier

4.35

Win to Nil

10%

Guingamp

10.23

8%

Montpellier

12.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 8.0 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.2
1 8.4 11.7 8.1 3.8 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 8.6 6.0 2.8 1.0 0.3
3 3.0 4.2 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.1 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.471
λ Away (xG) 1.389
Total xG 2.860
League avg home goals 1.249
League avg away goals 1.097
Guingamp attack strength 1.101
Guingamp defence strength 1.442
Montpellier attack strength 0.878
Montpellier defence strength 1.070
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 4