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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade de Roudourou

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Guingamp Win

34%

Guingamp

2.97

33%

Draw

3.03

33%

Bastia

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Guingamp xG

Total xG

2.30

1.15

Bastia xG

34%
33%
33%
GuingampDrawBastia

2.97

34%

Home win

3.03

33%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

32%

Guingamp

3.15

32%

Bastia

3.17

Win to Nil

11%

Guingamp

9.37

11%

Bastia

9.50

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 11.5 6.6 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 11.5 13.3 7.6 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.7 7.6 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.6 2.9 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.154
λ Away (xG) 1.148
Total xG 2.302
League avg home goals 1.215
League avg away goals 1.228
Guingamp attack strength 0.857
Guingamp defence strength 0.954
Bastia attack strength 0.980
Bastia defence strength 1.108
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 65