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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

13:00

Venue

Stade de l'Aube

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Estac Troyes Win

41%

Estac Troyes

2.42

26%

Draw

3.90

33%

PAU

3.03

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

2 – 1

8.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Estac Troyes xG

Total xG

2.71

1.26

PAU xG

41%
26%
33%
Estac TroyesDrawPAU

2.42

41%

Home win

3.90

26%

Draw

3.03

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.82

45%

BTTS No

2.22

Clean Sheet

28%

Estac Troyes

3.54

24%

PAU

4.25

Win to Nil

12%

Estac Troyes

8.57

8%

PAU

12.87

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.6 8.4 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
1 9.6 12.2 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 8.8 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.4 4.2 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.447
λ Away (xG) 1.265
Total xG 2.712
League avg home goals 1.146
League avg away goals 1.192
Estac Troyes attack strength 1.167
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.950
PAU attack strength 1.117
PAU defence strength 1.081
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57