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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Fri 16 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Marcel Tribut

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dunkerque Win

52%

Dunkerque

1.92

23%

Draw

4.32

25%

PAU

4.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Dunkerque xG

Total xG

2.97

1.17

PAU xG

52%
23%
25%
DunkerqueDrawPAU

1.92

52%

Home win

4.32

23%

Draw

4.05

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

31%

Dunkerque

3.21

17%

PAU

6.04

Win to Nil

16%

Dunkerque

6.16

4%

PAU

24.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 6.0 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.3 10.8 6.3 2.5 0.7 0.2
2 8.3 9.7 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.2
3 5.0 5.8 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.2 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.799
λ Away (xG) 1.167
Total xG 2.966
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.181
Dunkerque attack strength 1.206
Dunkerque defence strength 0.964
PAU attack strength 1.026
PAU defence strength 1.164
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 52 / 52