Most Likely Outcome
Rodez Win
25%
3.93
29%
3.44
45%
2.20
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.3%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
11.6%
Away win
1 – 2
9.2%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.06
Dijon xG
Total xG
2.55
1.49
Rodez xG
DijonDrawRodez
3.93
25%
Home win
3.44
29%
Draw
2.20
45%
Away win
Goals Markets
72%
Over 1.5
1.39
28%
Under 1.5
3.57
47%
Over 2.5
2.13
53%
Under 2.5
1.89
25%
Over 3.5
4.00
75%
Under 3.5
1.33
12%
Over 4.5
8.33
88%
Under 4.5
1.14
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
52%
BTTS Yes
1.92
48%
BTTS No
2.09
Clean Sheet
23%
4.42
35%
2.89
Win to Nil
6%
17.36
16%
6.35
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.8 | 11.6 | 8.7 | 4.3 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 12.3 | 9.2 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 4.4 | 6.5 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.060
λ Away (xG)
1.486
Total xG
2.546
League avg home goals
1.369
League avg away goals
1.258
Dijon attack strength
0.850
Dijon defence strength
1.150
Rodez attack strength
1.027
Rodez defence strength
0.911
Data phase
PrevSeason
Games used (H/A)
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