Clermont Foot 0-0 Sochaux – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates Clermont Foot at 40%, yet other data sources diverge — this Clermont Foot vs Sochaux fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis
Sochaux make the trip to Stade Gabriel Montpied to face Clermont Foot in Ligue 2, Regular Season - 4. The match kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 18:00 UTC.
Form
Clermont Foot (all games): 2W 5D 3L across 10 Ligue 2 fixtures this term — 1.10 PPG. Last five: W W D L D. They are averaging 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.20 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a high BTTS rate that carries real weight in the goals markets. Clermont Foot have played only a handful of Ligue 2 games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
In front of their own supporters this season, Clermont Foot have posted 2W 4D 4L at Stade Gabriel Montpied — 1.00 PPG. At home they are averaging 0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game.
Sochaux have collected 1.33 PPG across 3 Ligue 2 outings this season: 1W 1D 1L. Last five: L D W. Their scoring rate of 0.33 per game is modest, conceding 1.00 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. 2 clean sheets from 3 games (67%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. Sochaux have played only a handful of Ligue 2 games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Neither side holds a meaningful form edge. The 1.10 vs 1.33 PPG split is negligible — model and market signals should carry more analytical weight for this one.
Trading Data
Clermont Foot goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (3 games): they score before half-time in 33% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 67% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 33% of games; they fail to score in 33% of games.
Sochaux goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (3 games): they score before half-time in 67% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 0% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 33% of games; they keep a clean sheet 67% of the time; they fail to score in 67% of games.
The in-play data supports BTTS No — both teams show low combined scoring rates (Clermont Foot 67% | Sochaux 0%). Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Clermont Foot 33% | Sochaux 33%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Clermont Foot 1.00 xG and Sochaux 0.72 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Clermont Foot attack 0.859 / defence 0.883 | Sochaux attack 0.718 / defence 0.962. League average goals — home 1.207 / away 1.132. Data: 37 Clermont Foot games / 3 Sochaux games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: Clermont Foot 40% | Draw 35% | Sochaux 25%. Fair-value odds: Clermont Foot 2.50 | Draw 2.86 | Sochaux 4.00. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 35% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 25% | BTTS probability 33% | Total xG 1.72. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 75% probability — total xG of 1.72 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS No has firm model support at 67% — Sochaux's lower xG of 0.72 creates a meaningful probability of a scoring blank, which suppresses the BTTS Yes probability to 33%.
Picks & Verdict
On the Poisson output, Clermont Foot are the pick at 40% — marginal model lean. Draw probability of 35% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on Clermont Foot if the outright odds are short.
Poisson projects 1.72 total expected goals, pointing to Under 2.5 at 25% probability — reasonable conviction, supported by form averaging 1.6 goals per game.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 33% on No. Form rates corroborate: Clermont Foot 50% | Sochaux 0% BTTS from recent games.
The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (3 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Clermont Foot vs Sochaux | Competition: Ligue 2, Regular Season - 4 | Venue: Stade Gabriel Montpied • Kick-off: Friday 28 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Clermont Foot 40% | Draw 35% | Sochaux 25% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 25% | BTTS 33% | xG Clermont Foot 1.00 / Sochaux 0.72 • Poisson strength factors: Clermont Foot attack 0.859 / def 0.883 | Sochaux attack 0.718 / def 0.962 | league avg home 1.207 / away 1.132 • Poisson stance: Clermont Foot (40%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.00
Clermont Foot xG
Expected Goals
0.72
Sochaux xG
33%
BTTS
52%
Over 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
10%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Clermont Foot vs Sochaux kick off?
Clermont Foot vs Sochaux kicked off at 18:00 on Friday 28 August 2026 at Stade Gabriel Montpied.
What was the final score in Clermont Foot vs Sochaux?
Clermont Foot 0 - 0 Sochaux.
Where is Clermont Foot vs Sochaux being played?
The match is being played at Stade Gabriel Montpied.
What competition is Clermont Foot vs Sochaux part of?
Clermont Foot vs Sochaux is a Regular Season - 4 fixture in the Ligue 2 (France).
Who is favourite to win Clermont Foot vs Sochaux?
Our statistical model gives Clermont Foot a 40% chance of winning, Sochaux a 25% chance, and a 35% chance of a draw — making Clermont Foot the favourite.
Will both teams score in Clermont Foot vs Sochaux?
Our model estimates a 33% probability that both Clermont Foot and Sochaux will score (BTTS).
Will Clermont Foot vs Sochaux have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 25%.
What is the head-to-head record between Clermont Foot and Sochaux?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Clermont Foot and Sochaux in?
Clermont Foot (all comps): 2W-5D-3L in 10 | 1.10 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 1.20 | L5 W-W-D-L-D. Sochaux (all comps): 1W-1D-1L in 3 | 1.33 PPG | GF 0.33 / GA 1.00 | L5 L-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Behind the Numbers
Clermont Foot's attacking strength (0.86x league average) is weighed against Sochaux's defensive record (0.96x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.00. Flip it around — Sochaux's attack (0.72x) against Clermont Foot's defence (0.88x) — and the away total comes out at 0.72.
The sample (37/3 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 0-0, at 19.6%. Close behind: 1-0 (16.3%), 1-1 (14.6%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 50% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Clermont Foot Win
40%
2.49
35%
2.84
25%
4.06
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
18.0%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
17.9%
Home win
0 – 1
12.9%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.00
Clermont Foot xG
Total xG
1.72
0.72
Sochaux xG
2.49
40%
Home win
2.84
35%
Draw
4.06
25%
Away win
Goals Markets
51%
Over 1.5
1.96
49%
Under 1.5
2.04
25%
Over 2.5
4.00
75%
Under 2.5
1.33
10%
Over 3.5
10.00
90%
Under 3.5
1.11
3%
Over 4.5
33.33
97%
Under 4.5
1.03
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
33%
BTTS Yes
3.01
67%
BTTS No
1.50
Clean Sheet
49%
2.05
37%
2.72
Win to Nil
20%
5.10
9%
11.03
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 18.0 | 12.9 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 1 | 17.9 | 12.9 | 4.6 | 1.1 | 0.2 | – |
| 2 | 9.0 | 6.4 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | – |
| 3 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | – | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Clermont Foot vs Sochaux?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 19.6%.
How many goals are Clermont Foot and Sochaux expected to score?
The model projects 1.00 expected goals for Clermont Foot and 0.72 for Sochaux, a combined total of 1.72.
How confident is the prediction model for Clermont Foot vs Sochaux?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 40%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
The Form Picture
Clermont Foot come into this having played 3 games, going 0W 2D 1L for 0.67 points per game. Their last five reads D-L-D. It's still early in the season for Clermont Foot, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, Sochaux sit at 1.33 PPG from 3 outings (1W 1D 1L), a run that reads L-D-W across their last five. It's still early in the season for Sochaux, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Sochaux carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.66 PPG clear of Clermont Foot — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Scoring & Defensive Trends
Clermont Foot are averaging 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game recently; Sochaux are on 0.33 scored and 1.00 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Clermont Foot have seen both teams score in 67% of their recent games; Sochaux in 0%.
Defensively: Sochaux in 67% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 3 Results — Ligue 2
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Clermont Foot
Early Season
Sochaux
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Clermont Foot and Sochaux in coming into this match?
Clermont Foot have gone 0W 2D 1L in their last 3 games (0.67 PPG), while Sochaux have gone 1W 1D 1L in their last 3 (1.33 PPG).
Have Clermont Foot or Sochaux been keeping clean sheets recently?
Clermont Foot have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their recent games, Sochaux in 67%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
History of the Fixture
On record, these two have faced off 1 times since August 2026 — enough meetings to establish some real patterns. Every recorded meeting has come in Ligue 2. The two were last together as recently as 28 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Last 1 Meetings
0
Clermont Foot
1
Draws
0
Sochaux
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Clermont Foot and Sochaux?
From 1 meetings on record, Clermont Foot have won 0, Sochaux have won 0, and 1 have been drawn.
When did Clermont Foot and Sochaux last play each other?
They last met on 28 August 2026, when Clermont Foot 0-0 Sochaux.
📈 Trading Insight
How These Sides Start
Clermont Foot see a goal before the break in 33% of their matches.
Sochaux are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 67% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 33% of the time.
Goals & Clean Sheets
Neither side has been leaking BTTS chances often — 67% (Clermont Foot) and 0% (Sochaux) both sit on the low side, favouring BTTS No.
Low-scoring games have been more typical here — Over 2.5 sits at just 33% for Clermont Foot and 33% for Sochaux.
On the defensive side: Clermont Foot keep a clean sheet in 33% of their matches; Sochaux in 67%; Clermont Foot have failed to score in 33% of games; Sochaux in 67%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Clermont Foot home games / Sochaux away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Clermont Foot play Sochaux?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 67% of Clermont Foot's recent matches and 0% of Sochaux's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Clermont Foot vs Sochaux usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 33% of Clermont Foot's recent games and 33% of Sochaux's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Clermont Foot and Sochaux tend to score early?
Clermont Foot have had a goal before half-time in 33% of their recent matches, Sochaux in 67% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Clermont Foot's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Clermont Foot and Sochaux finished level at 0-0 at Stade Gabriel Montpied, Regular Season - 4, in the Ligue 2. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Clermont Foot 1.00 xG and Sochaux 0.72 xG, a combined 1.72. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Clermont Foot fell 1.0 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Clermont Foot attack 0.86 / defence 0.88 against Sochaux attack 0.72 / defence 0.96, drawn from 37/3 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it Clermont Foot 40% | Draw 35% | Sochaux 25%, with Clermont Foot to win its most likely call at 40%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 35%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 25%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 52% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 33% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 33% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Clermont Foot 33%, Sochaux 33%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 33%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Clermont Foot's trading profile (3 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 33% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Sochaux's trading profile (3 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 0% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 67% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 67% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Sochaux arrived the stronger side — 1.33 PPG against 0.67. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Clermont Foot conceded 0 against a 1.33 average — tighter than their form line. Sochaux conceded 0 against a 1.00 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.