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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Fri 15 Aug 2025

19:00

Venue

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Clermont Foot Win

38%

Clermont Foot

2.65

28%

Draw

3.57

34%

Estac Troyes

2.92

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.2%

Home win

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Clermont Foot xG

Total xG

2.56

1.24

Estac Troyes xG

38%
28%
34%
Clermont FootDrawEstac Troyes

2.65

38%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

2.92

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

29%

Clermont Foot

3.46

27%

Estac Troyes

3.72

Win to Nil

11%

Clermont Foot

9.19

9%

Estac Troyes

10.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 9.6 6.0 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 10.2 12.7 7.9 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.7 8.3 5.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 2.9 3.6 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.314
λ Away (xG) 1.242
Total xG 2.556
League avg home goals 1.525
League avg away goals 1.226
Clermont Foot attack strength 0.914
Clermont Foot defence strength 1.012
Estac Troyes attack strength 1.000
Estac Troyes defence strength 0.943
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35