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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Fri 24 Apr 2026

19:00

Venue

Stade Gabriel Montpied

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Clermont Foot Win

35%

Clermont Foot

2.85

30%

Draw

3.33

35%

Bastia

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Clermont Foot xG

Total xG

2.57

1.28

Bastia xG

35%
30%
35%
Clermont FootDrawBastia

2.85

35%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

28%

Clermont Foot

3.60

28%

Bastia

3.62

Win to Nil

10%

Clermont Foot

10.25

10%

Bastia

10.39

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 9.8 6.3 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 9.9 12.6 8.1 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.4 8.1 5.2 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 2.7 3.5 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.287
λ Away (xG) 1.281
Total xG 2.568
League avg home goals 1.208
League avg away goals 1.174
Clermont Foot attack strength 0.933
Clermont Foot defence strength 1.069
Bastia attack strength 1.021
Bastia defence strength 1.142
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 64