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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 11 Apr 2026

13:00

Venue

Stade de la Libération

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Mans Win

26%

Boulogne

3.79

24%

Draw

4.14

50%

Le Mans

2.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.3%

Away win

2 – 1

6.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.43

Boulogne xG

Total xG

3.42

1.99

Le Mans xG

26%
24%
50%
BoulogneDrawLe Mans

3.79

26%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

2.02

50%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

67%

BTTS Yes

1.50

33%

BTTS No

3.01

Clean Sheet

14%

Boulogne

7.33

24%

Le Mans

4.17

Win to Nil

4%

Boulogne

27.81

12%

Le Mans

8.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 6.5 6.5 4.3 2.1 0.9
1 4.7 9.3 9.3 6.2 3.1 1.2
2 3.3 6.6 6.6 4.4 2.2 0.9
3 1.6 3.2 3.1 2.1 1.0 0.4
4 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.427
λ Away (xG) 1.992
Total xG 3.419
League avg home goals 1.159
League avg away goals 1.142
Boulogne attack strength 0.947
Boulogne defence strength 1.301
Le Mans attack strength 1.340
Le Mans defence strength 1.299
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 29 / 29