Annecy 0-0 Grenoble – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates Grenoble at 36% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this Annecy vs Grenoble encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Analysis & Preview
A Ligue 2 encounter, Regular Season - 5 sees Grenoble travel to Parc des Sports to take on Annecy. The game is scheduled for Saturday 27 August 2022, 18:00 UTC.
Form Analysis
Looking at all fixtures this season, Annecy stand at 0W 1D 3L from 4 Ligue 2 matches — 0.25 PPG. Last five: L L L D. They are averaging 0.75 goals per game and conceding 1.50 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. Annecy have played only a handful of Ligue 2 games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Grenoble — All Games: 4W 4D 2L from 10 Ligue 2 fixtures this season — 1.60 PPG. Last five: L D W L D. Their scoring rate of 1.00 per game is modest, conceding 0.70 — not a side to back heavily on the Over 2.5 from their form alone. Defensively, 0.70 goals conceded per game is elite-level — a side this difficult to score against is a real threat to Over 2.5 and BTTS Yes. 6 clean sheets from 10 games (60%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. Both teams have scored in only 20% of their fixtures — a very low rate that strongly backs BTTS No. Grenoble have played only a handful of Ligue 2 games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
Grenoble's away record: 4W 1D 5L from 10 road trips in Ligue 2 this season (1.30 PPG). Away from home they average 0.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. 5 away clean sheets from 10 games (50%) — they are as difficult to score against on the road as they are at home. Away from home, both teams have scored in only 10% of games — a low rate that backs BTTS No when they travel.
The form data does not support a straightforward home bias here. Grenoble are 1.35 PPG ahead (1.60 vs 0.25), making them the form-guided selection despite the trip.
In-Play Data
Annecy trading profile (4 games): they score before half-time in 75% of fixtures; when winning at HT they fail to see it out 25% of the time; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 50% of games; they fail to score in 50% of games.
Grenoble trading profile (4 games): they score before half-time in 50% of fixtures; BTTS occurs in 0% of their matches; Over 2.5 goals lands in 25% of games; they keep a clean sheet 75% of the time; they fail to score in 75% of games.
The in-play data supports BTTS No — both teams show low combined scoring rates (Annecy 50% | Grenoble 0%). Under 2.5 goals has backing from the in-play data — both teams register low Over 2.5 rates (Annecy 50% | Grenoble 25%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects Annecy 0.91 xG and Grenoble 0.98 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: Annecy attack 0.749 / defence 1.213 | Grenoble attack 0.731 / defence 1.070. League average goals — home 1.134 / away 1.110. Annecy's attack strength of 0.749 is below the league average — the 0.91 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 4 Annecy games / 42 Grenoble games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: Annecy 32% | Draw 32% | Grenoble 36%. Fair-value odds: Annecy 3.12 | Draw 3.12 | Grenoble 2.78. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 32% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 29% | BTTS probability 37% | Total xG 1.89. Under 2.5 is the strongly backed market at 71% probability — total xG of 1.89 sits well below the 2.5 threshold. The model is projecting a tight, low-scoring match based on both sides' defensive quality. BTTS probability of 37% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Our Verdict
Poisson rates Grenoble as the most likely outcome at 36% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. With a 32% draw probability, Draw No Bet on Grenoble offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 1.89 combined xG gives a 29% probability to Under 2.5 — reasonable, supported by form averaging 2.0 goals per game.
Poisson assigns a 37% probability to BTTS No based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: Annecy 50% | Grenoble 10% BTTS from recent games.
The outsider holds a 32% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects.
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: Annecy vs Grenoble | Competition: Ligue 2, Regular Season - 5 | Venue: Parc des Sports • Kick-off: Saturday 27 Aug 2022, 18:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: Annecy 32% | Draw 32% | Grenoble 36% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 29% | BTTS 37% | xG Annecy 0.91 / Grenoble 0.98 • Poisson strength factors: Annecy attack 0.749 / def 1.213 | Grenoble attack 0.731 / def 1.070 | league avg home 1.134 / away 1.110 • Poisson stance: Grenoble (36%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
0.91
Annecy xG
Expected Goals
0.98
Grenoble xG
37%
BTTS
56%
Over 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
12%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does Annecy vs Grenoble kick off?
Annecy vs Grenoble kicked off at 18:00 on Saturday 27 August 2022 at Parc des Sports.
What was the final score in Annecy vs Grenoble?
Annecy 0 - 0 Grenoble.
Where is Annecy vs Grenoble being played?
The match is being played at Parc des Sports.
What competition is Annecy vs Grenoble part of?
Annecy vs Grenoble is a Regular Season - 5 fixture in the Ligue 2 (France).
Who is favourite to win Annecy vs Grenoble?
Our statistical model gives Annecy a 32% chance of winning, Grenoble a 36% chance, and a 32% chance of a draw — making Grenoble the favourite.
Will both teams score in Annecy vs Grenoble?
Our model estimates a 37% probability that both Annecy and Grenoble will score (BTTS).
Will Annecy vs Grenoble have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 29%.
What is the head-to-head record between Annecy and Grenoble?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are Annecy and Grenoble in?
Annecy (all comps): 0W-1D-3L in 4 | 0.25 PPG | GF 0.75 / GA 1.50 | L5 L-L-L-D. Grenoble (all comps): 4W-4D-2L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.00 / GA 0.70 | L5 L-D-W-L-D.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
The model rates Annecy's attack at 0.75x the league average against Grenoble's defence at 1.07x — combine the two and it projects 0.91 expected goals for the hosts. The same calculation in reverse, Grenoble's attack versus Annecy's defence, projects 0.98 expected goals for the visitors.
These ratings are built from 4/42 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Scoreline Breakdown
Of every possible scoreline, 0-0 carries the highest individual probability at 16.8% — still a long way from a near-certainty, which says something about how open this one is on paper. Close behind: 1-1 (15.2%), 0-1 (13.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 45% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
Grenoble Win
32%
3.11
32%
3.14
36%
2.78
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 0
15.1%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
14.8%
Away win
1 – 0
13.7%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.91
Annecy xG
Total xG
1.89
0.98
Grenoble xG
3.11
32%
Home win
3.14
32%
Draw
2.78
36%
Away win
Goals Markets
56%
Over 1.5
1.79
44%
Under 1.5
2.27
29%
Over 2.5
3.45
71%
Under 2.5
1.41
12%
Over 3.5
8.33
88%
Under 3.5
1.14
4%
Over 4.5
25.00
96%
Under 4.5
1.04
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
37%
BTTS Yes
2.67
63%
BTTS No
1.60
Clean Sheet
37%
2.67
40%
2.48
Win to Nil
12%
8.32
14%
6.90
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 15.1 | 14.8 | 7.3 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.7 | 13.5 | 6.6 | 2.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 6.1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | – |
| 3 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for Annecy vs Grenoble?
Our Poisson model rates 0-0 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 16.8%.
How many goals are Annecy and Grenoble expected to score?
The model projects 0.91 expected goals for Annecy and 0.98 for Grenoble, a combined total of 1.89.
How confident is the prediction model for Annecy vs Grenoble?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 36%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
Annecy's recent record stands at 0W 1D 3L from 4 games, a 0.25 PPG return, with L-L-L-D in the last five. It's still early in the season for Annecy, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Grenoble, meanwhile, have gone 1W 2D 1L across 4 games — 1.25 PPG, with D-W-L-D in their last five. It's still early in the season for Grenoble, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
The points-per-game comparison favours Grenoble by 1.00 — a real, if not enormous, edge over Annecy heading into this one.
The Goals Picture
Annecy are averaging 0.75 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game recently; Grenoble are on 0.25 scored and 0.75 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: Grenoble in 0%.
Defensively: Grenoble in 75% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 4 Results — Ligue 2
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
Annecy
Early Season
Grenoble
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are Annecy and Grenoble in coming into this match?
Annecy have gone 0W 1D 3L in their last 4 games (0.25 PPG), while Grenoble have gone 1W 2D 1L in their last 4 (1.25 PPG).
Have Annecy or Grenoble been keeping clean sheets recently?
Annecy have kept a clean sheet in 0% of their recent games, Grenoble in 75%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between Annecy and Grenoble runs to 8 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to August 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Ligue 2. They last met on 6 February 2026, roughly 5 months ago.
Digging Into the Numbers
Annecy's record when hosting Grenoble specifically: 1W 2D 1L from 4 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 8 Meetings
2
Annecy
3
Draws
3
Grenoble
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between Annecy and Grenoble?
From 8 meetings on record, Annecy have won 2, Grenoble have won 3, and 3 have been drawn.
When did Annecy and Grenoble last play each other?
They last met on 6 February 2026, when Annecy 1-1 Grenoble.
Who has won more matches between Annecy and Grenoble?
Grenoble have the better head-to-head record, with 3 wins from 8 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
Annecy are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 75% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 25% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
Grenoble see a goal before the break in 50% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 25% of the time.
The Numbers That Matter
Clean sheets have been more common than shared scoring for these two — Annecy 50% BTTS, Grenoble 0%. That points toward BTTS No as the trading lean.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 50% (Annecy) and 25% (Grenoble).
On the defensive side: Grenoble in 75%; Annecy have failed to score in 50% of games; Grenoble in 75%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = Annecy home games / Grenoble away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when Annecy play Grenoble?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 50% of Annecy's recent matches and 0% of Grenoble's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is Annecy vs Grenoble usually a high-scoring fixture?
Not particularly — Over 2.5 goals has come in for only 50% of Annecy's recent games and 25% of Grenoble's, pointing to a tighter contest.
Do Annecy and Grenoble tend to score early?
Annecy have had a goal before half-time in 75% of their recent matches, Grenoble in 50% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Stalemate at Annecy's ground as both sides cancel each other out in a goalless draw.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Annecy and Grenoble finished level at 0-0 at Parc des Sports, Regular Season - 5, in the Ligue 2. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting Annecy 0.91 xG and Grenoble 0.98 xG, a combined 1.89. The scoreboard read 0-0 for 0 actual goals. Annecy fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Grenoble landed 1.0 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Annecy attack 0.75 / defence 1.21 against Grenoble attack 0.73 / defence 1.07, drawn from 4/42 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it Annecy 32% | Draw 32% | Grenoble 36%, with Grenoble to win its most likely call at 36%. The actual draw had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 29%. The game delivered 0, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 56% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 37% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 38% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Annecy 50%, Grenoble 25%), a base rate that agreed with today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 25%, which matched the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
Annecy's trading profile (4 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 50% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 50% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Grenoble's trading profile (4 games) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 0% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 75% of the time, and duly kept one; they fail to score in 75% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, Grenoble arrived the stronger side — 1.25 PPG against 0.25. The form guide was only half-right: the stronger side did not lose, but could not convert the edge into a win. Annecy conceded 0 against a 1.50 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.