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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 2 · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Fri 21 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

Parc des Sports

Competition

Ligue 2

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Annecy Win

57%

Annecy

1.76

28%

Draw

3.52

15%

Bastia

6.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

20.6%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.4%

Draw

2 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Annecy xG

Total xG

1.87

0.53

Bastia xG

57%
28%
15%
AnnecyDrawBastia

1.76

57%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

6.79

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

56%

Over 1.5

1.79

44%

Under 1.5

2.27

29%

Over 2.5

3.45

71%

Under 2.5

1.41

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

30%

BTTS Yes

3.28

70%

BTTS No

1.44

Clean Sheet

59%

Annecy

1.70

26%

Bastia

3.82

Win to Nil

33%

Annecy

3.00

4%

Bastia

25.95

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.4 8.2 2.2 0.4 0.1
1 20.6 11.0 2.9 0.5 0.1
2 13.8 7.4 2.0 0.3
3 6.2 3.3 0.9 0.2
4 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.341
λ Away (xG) 0.532
Total xG 1.873
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.214
Annecy attack strength 1.080
Annecy defence strength 0.874
Bastia attack strength 0.502
Bastia defence strength 0.962
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 47