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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 31

Kick-off

Sat 25 Apr 2026

20:05

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Monaco Win

29%

Toulouse

3.40

29%

Draw

3.51

42%

Monaco

2.38

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

1 – 2

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Toulouse xG

Total xG

2.71

1.49

Monaco xG

29%
29%
42%
ToulouseDrawMonaco

3.40

29%

Home win

3.51

29%

Draw

2.38

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.79

44%

BTTS No

2.27

Clean Sheet

23%

Toulouse

4.44

30%

Monaco

3.37

Win to Nil

7%

Toulouse

15.11

12%

Monaco

8.01

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 10.0 7.4 3.7 1.4 0.4
1 8.1 12.1 9.0 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 4.9 7.4 5.5 2.7 1.0 0.3
3 2.0 3.0 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.215
λ Away (xG) 1.491
Total xG 2.706
League avg home goals 1.458
League avg away goals 1.264
Toulouse attack strength 0.798
Toulouse defence strength 1.096
Monaco attack strength 1.076
Monaco defence strength 1.045
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 64