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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 12 Apr 2026

16:15

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

35%

Toulouse

2.88

30%

Draw

3.33

35%

Lille

2.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Toulouse xG

Total xG

2.23

1.12

Lille xG

35%
30%
35%
ToulouseDrawLille

2.88

35%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

2.84

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.19

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

33%

Toulouse

3.06

33%

Lille

3.03

Win to Nil

11%

Toulouse

8.79

12%

Lille

8.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.8 12.1 6.7 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 12.0 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.6 7.4 4.1 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.5 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.109
λ Away (xG) 1.117
Total xG 2.226
League avg home goals 1.475
League avg away goals 1.187
Toulouse attack strength 0.864
Toulouse defence strength 0.905
Lille attack strength 1.040
Lille defence strength 0.870
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62