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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 12 Apr 2025

18:00

Venue

Stadium de Toulouse

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lille Win

33%

Toulouse

2.99

27%

Draw

3.74

40%

Lille

2.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 0

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Toulouse xG

Total xG

2.53

1.33

Lille xG

33%
27%
40%
ToulouseDrawLille

2.99

33%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

2.51

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

26%

Toulouse

3.79

30%

Lille

3.32

Win to Nil

9%

Toulouse

11.32

12%

Lille

8.34

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 10.6 7.1 3.1 1.0 0.3
1 9.5 12.7 8.5 3.8 1.3 0.3
2 5.7 7.6 5.1 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 2.3 3.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.199
λ Away (xG) 1.332
Total xG 2.531
League avg home goals 1.453
League avg away goals 1.399
Toulouse attack strength 0.878
Toulouse defence strength 1.091
Lille attack strength 0.872
Lille defence strength 0.940
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 62 / 62