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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Sun 3 May 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade de la Meinau

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Strasbourg Win

42%

Strasbourg

2.38

28%

Draw

3.56

30%

Toulouse

3.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

8.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Strasbourg xG

Total xG

2.90

1.31

Toulouse xG

42%
28%
30%
StrasbourgDrawToulouse

2.38

42%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

3.35

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

27%

Strasbourg

3.72

20%

Toulouse

4.89

Win to Nil

11%

Strasbourg

8.83

6%

Toulouse

16.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.5 7.2 4.7 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 8.7 11.5 7.5 3.3 1.1 0.3
2 6.9 9.1 6.0 2.6 0.9 0.2
3 3.7 4.8 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.5 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.588
λ Away (xG) 1.313
Total xG 2.901
League avg home goals 1.476
League avg away goals 1.299
Strasbourg attack strength 0.974
Strasbourg defence strength 0.932
Toulouse attack strength 1.085
Toulouse defence strength 1.105
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 64 / 65