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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Wed 13 May 2026

18:00

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

41%

Stade Brestois 29

2.43

24%

Draw

4.17

35%

Strasbourg

2.87

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.2%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

1 – 2

7.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

3.50

1.67

Strasbourg xG

41%
24%
35%
Stade Brestois 29DrawStrasbourg

2.43

41%

Home win

4.17

24%

Draw

2.87

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.45

31%

BTTS No

3.22

Clean Sheet

19%

Stade Brestois 29

5.31

16%

Strasbourg

6.20

Win to Nil

8%

Stade Brestois 29

12.89

6%

Strasbourg

17.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 5.1 4.2 2.4 1.0 0.3
1 5.5 9.2 7.7 4.3 1.8 0.6
2 5.1 8.4 7.0 3.9 1.6 0.5
3 3.1 5.1 4.3 2.4 1.0 0.3
4 1.4 2.3 2.0 1.1 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.825
λ Away (xG) 1.670
Total xG 3.495
League avg home goals 1.492
League avg away goals 1.292
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 1.171
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.087
Strasbourg attack strength 1.189
Strasbourg defence strength 1.045
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 66