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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

67%

Stade Brestois 29

1.50

18%

Draw

5.56

15%

Metz

6.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.6%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

9.0%

Home win

1 – 1

8.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.39

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

3.46

1.06

Metz xG

67%
18%
15%
Stade Brestois 29DrawMetz

1.50

67%

Home win

5.56

18%

Draw

6.57

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

45%

Over 3.5

2.22

55%

Under 3.5

1.82

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.68

41%

BTTS No

2.47

Clean Sheet

35%

Stade Brestois 29

2.90

9%

Metz

10.96

Win to Nil

23%

Stade Brestois 29

4.33

1%

Metz

71.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.2 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 7.5 8.0 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 9.0 9.6 5.1 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 7.2 7.7 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 4.3 4.6 2.4 0.9 0.2
5 2.1 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.394
λ Away (xG) 1.063
Total xG 3.457
League avg home goals 1.655
League avg away goals 1.197
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.855
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 1.031
Metz attack strength 0.861
Metz defence strength 1.692
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 12