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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 4 Jan 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade Francis-Le Blé

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stade Brestois 29 Win

50%

Stade Brestois 29

1.99

26%

Draw

3.84

24%

Auxerre

4.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

2 – 0

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Stade Brestois 29 xG

Total xG

2.45

0.95

Auxerre xG

50%
26%
24%
Stade Brestois 29DrawAuxerre

1.99

50%

Home win

3.84

26%

Draw

4.21

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

39%

Stade Brestois 29

2.58

22%

Auxerre

4.50

Win to Nil

19%

Stade Brestois 29

5.13

5%

Auxerre

18.92

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 8.2 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.0 12.3 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.8 9.2 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 4.9 4.6 2.2 0.7 0.2
4 1.8 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.503
λ Away (xG) 0.946
Total xG 2.449
League avg home goals 1.549
League avg away goals 1.199
Stade Brestois 29 attack strength 0.882
Stade Brestois 29 defence strength 0.993
Auxerre attack strength 0.795
Auxerre defence strength 1.100
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 50