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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Sat 28 Feb 2026

16:00

Venue

Roazhon Park

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rennes Win

43%

Rennes

2.31

26%

Draw

3.89

31%

Toulouse

3.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.1%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.47

Rennes xG

Total xG

2.67

1.20

Toulouse xG

43%
26%
31%
RennesDrawToulouse

2.31

43%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

3.22

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

30%

Rennes

3.33

23%

Toulouse

4.35

Win to Nil

13%

Rennes

7.70

7%

Toulouse

14.04

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.9 8.3 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
1 10.1 12.2 7.3 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.5 9.0 5.4 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.7 4.4 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.471
λ Away (xG) 1.204
Total xG 2.675
League avg home goals 1.511
League avg away goals 1.219
Rennes attack strength 1.162
Rennes defence strength 0.985
Toulouse attack strength 1.003
Toulouse defence strength 0.838
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 57