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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Fri 13 Feb 2026

18:00

Venue

Roazhon Park

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

32%

Rennes

3.13

24%

Draw

4.09

44%

Paris Saint Germain

2.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.33

Rennes xG

Total xG

2.92

1.59

Paris Saint Germain xG

32%
24%
44%
RennesDrawParis Saint Germain

3.13

32%

Home win

4.09

24%

Draw

2.30

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

20%

Rennes

4.90

26%

Paris Saint Germain

3.78

Win to Nil

7%

Rennes

15.31

12%

Paris Saint Germain

8.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 8.6 6.8 3.6 1.4 0.5
1 7.2 11.4 9.1 4.8 1.9 0.6
2 4.8 7.6 6.0 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 2.1 3.4 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.329
λ Away (xG) 1.589
Total xG 2.918
League avg home goals 1.480
League avg away goals 1.176
Rennes attack strength 1.078
Rennes defence strength 1.060
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.275
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.832
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55