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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 22 Nov 2025

20:05

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

56%

Paris Saint Germain

1.79

24%

Draw

4.08

20%

Le Havre

5.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

2 – 0

10.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

2.52

0.87

Le Havre xG

56%
24%
20%
Paris Saint GermainDrawLe Havre

1.79

56%

Home win

4.08

24%

Draw

5.05

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.13

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

42%

Paris Saint Germain

2.39

19%

Le Havre

5.20

Win to Nil

23%

Paris Saint Germain

4.30

4%

Le Havre

26.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 7.0 3.1 0.9 0.2
1 13.2 11.6 5.0 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.9 9.5 4.2 1.2 0.3
3 6.0 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.1
4 2.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.649
λ Away (xG) 0.873
Total xG 2.522
League avg home goals 1.654
League avg away goals 1.219
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.053
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.839
Le Havre attack strength 0.853
Le Havre defence strength 0.947
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46