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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 17 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Parc des Princes

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris Saint Germain Win

53%

Paris Saint Germain

1.87

22%

Draw

4.61

25%

Auxerre

4.01

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.0%

Draw

2 – 0

6.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.09

Paris Saint Germain xG

Total xG

3.47

1.38

Auxerre xG

53%
22%
25%
Paris Saint GermainDrawAuxerre

1.87

53%

Home win

4.61

22%

Draw

4.01

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.94

Clean Sheet

25%

Paris Saint Germain

3.99

12%

Auxerre

8.05

Win to Nil

13%

Paris Saint Germain

7.47

3%

Auxerre

32.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 4.3 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
1 6.5 9.0 6.2 2.9 1.0 0.3
2 6.8 9.4 6.5 3.0 1.0 0.3
3 4.7 6.5 4.5 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 2.5 3.4 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.086
λ Away (xG) 1.383
Total xG 3.469
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.390
Paris Saint Germain attack strength 1.303
Paris Saint Germain defence strength 0.916
Auxerre attack strength 1.086
Auxerre defence strength 1.105
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 33