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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Sun 22 Mar 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade Jean Bouin

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris FC Win

37%

Paris FC

2.74

30%

Draw

3.33

33%

Le Havre

2.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Paris FC xG

Total xG

2.09

1.01

Le Havre xG

37%
30%
33%
Paris FCDrawLe Havre

2.74

37%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

2.99

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.38

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

36%

Paris FC

2.76

34%

Le Havre

2.93

Win to Nil

13%

Paris FC

7.54

11%

Le Havre

8.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 12.6 6.4 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 13.3 13.5 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.2 7.3 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 2.6 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.075
λ Away (xG) 1.014
Total xG 2.089
League avg home goals 1.431
League avg away goals 1.196
Paris FC attack strength 0.720
Paris FC defence strength 1.334
Le Havre attack strength 0.635
Le Havre defence strength 1.044
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 60