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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Sat 29 Nov 2025

18:00

Venue

Stade Jean Bouin

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Paris FC Win

47%

Paris FC

2.13

24%

Draw

4.24

29%

Auxerre

3.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

1 – 0

8.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.72

Paris FC xG

Total xG

3.04

1.32

Auxerre xG

47%
24%
29%
Paris FCDrawAuxerre

2.13

47%

Home win

4.24

24%

Draw

3.40

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.67

40%

BTTS No

2.50

Clean Sheet

27%

Paris FC

3.73

18%

Auxerre

5.58

Win to Nil

13%

Paris FC

7.94

5%

Auxerre

18.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 6.3 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 8.3 10.9 7.2 3.1 1.0 0.3
2 7.1 9.3 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 4.1 5.4 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.8 2.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.720
λ Away (xG) 1.316
Total xG 3.036
League avg home goals 1.646
League avg away goals 1.202
Paris FC attack strength 0.913
Paris FC defence strength 1.377
Auxerre attack strength 0.795
Auxerre defence strength 1.145
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 13 / 47