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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 2

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

18:00

Venue

Allianz Riviera

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Nice Win

45%

Nice

2.22

25%

Draw

3.97

30%

Auxerre

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.54

Nice xG

Total xG

2.73

1.20

Auxerre xG

45%
25%
30%
NiceDrawAuxerre

2.22

45%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

30%

Nice

3.31

22%

Auxerre

4.65

Win to Nil

14%

Nice

7.34

6%

Auxerre

15.66

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.5 7.8 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 10.0 12.0 7.2 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.7 9.2 5.5 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.9 4.7 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.5 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.536
λ Away (xG) 1.198
Total xG 2.734
League avg home goals 1.465
League avg away goals 1.257
Nice attack strength 1.002
Nice defence strength 0.886
Auxerre attack strength 1.076
Auxerre defence strength 1.046
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 35 / 35