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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 7 Feb 2026

20:05

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

16%

Nantes

6.14

18%

Draw

5.48

65%

Lyon

1.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 2

8.5%

Away win

1 – 1

8.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.12

Nantes xG

Total xG

3.51

2.39

Lyon xG

16%
18%
65%
NantesDrawLyon

6.14

16%

Home win

5.48

18%

Draw

1.53

65%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

68%

Over 2.5

1.47

32%

Under 2.5

3.12

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

61%

BTTS Yes

1.64

39%

BTTS No

2.57

Clean Sheet

9%

Nantes

10.90

33%

Lyon

3.06

Win to Nil

1%

Nantes

66.97

21%

Lyon

4.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.0 7.2 8.5 6.8 4.1 1.9
1 3.4 8.0 9.6 7.6 4.5 2.2
2 1.9 4.5 5.4 4.3 2.5 1.2
3 0.7 1.7 2.0 1.6 0.9 0.5
4 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.119
λ Away (xG) 2.389
Total xG 3.508
League avg home goals 1.485
League avg away goals 1.243
Nantes attack strength 0.771
Nantes defence strength 1.507
Lyon attack strength 1.275
Lyon defence strength 0.978
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54