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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 22 Feb 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade de la Beaujoire

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Havre Win

30%

Nantes

3.36

28%

Draw

3.52

42%

Le Havre

2.39

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

0 – 0

10.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Nantes xG

Total xG

2.26

1.25

Le Havre xG

30%
28%
42%
NantesDrawLe Havre

3.36

30%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

2.39

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

29%

Nantes

3.49

37%

Le Havre

2.74

Win to Nil

9%

Nantes

11.73

15%

Le Havre

6.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.5 13.1 8.2 3.4 1.1 0.3
1 10.5 13.2 8.2 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 5.3 6.6 4.1 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 1.8 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.007
λ Away (xG) 1.250
Total xG 2.257
League avg home goals 1.486
League avg away goals 1.221
Nantes attack strength 0.730
Nantes defence strength 1.381
Le Havre attack strength 0.742
Le Havre defence strength 0.928
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56