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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sun 6 Apr 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Havre Win

21%

Montpellier

4.77

19%

Draw

5.38

60%

Le Havre

1.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 3

7.3%

Away win

1 – 1

7.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Montpellier xG

Total xG

3.89

2.47

Le Havre xG

21%
19%
60%
MontpellierDrawLe Havre

4.77

21%

Home win

5.38

19%

Draw

1.65

60%

Away win

Goals Markets

90%

Over 1.5

1.11

10%

Under 1.5

10.00

75%

Over 2.5

1.33

25%

Under 2.5

4.00

54%

Over 3.5

1.85

46%

Under 3.5

2.17

35%

Over 4.5

2.86

65%

Under 4.5

1.54

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

69%

BTTS Yes

1.44

31%

BTTS No

3.27

Clean Sheet

8%

Montpellier

11.81

24%

Le Havre

4.15

Win to Nil

2%

Montpellier

56.32

15%

Le Havre

6.86

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.0 5.0 6.2 5.1 3.2 1.6
1 2.9 7.2 8.9 7.3 4.5 2.2
2 2.1 5.1 6.3 5.2 3.2 1.6
3 1.0 2.4 3.0 2.5 1.5 0.7
4 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.3
5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.422
λ Away (xG) 2.469
Total xG 3.891
League avg home goals 1.483
League avg away goals 1.406
Montpellier attack strength 0.735
Montpellier defence strength 1.553
Le Havre attack strength 1.131
Le Havre defence strength 1.305
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 61