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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 15 Mar 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Toulouse Win

21%

Metz

4.85

26%

Draw

3.81

53%

Toulouse

1.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.8%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

0 – 2

11.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.82

Metz xG

Total xG

2.31

1.49

Toulouse xG

21%
26%
53%
MetzDrawToulouse

4.85

21%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

1.88

53%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

22%

Metz

4.45

44%

Toulouse

2.27

Win to Nil

5%

Metz

21.58

23%

Toulouse

4.27

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 14.8 11.0 5.5 2.0 0.6
1 8.1 12.1 9.0 4.5 1.7 0.5
2 3.3 5.0 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.2
3 0.9 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
4 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.819
λ Away (xG) 1.492
Total xG 2.311
League avg home goals 1.403
League avg away goals 1.162
Metz attack strength 0.689
Metz defence strength 1.368
Toulouse attack strength 0.939
Toulouse defence strength 0.847
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 25 / 59