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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

16:15

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Le Havre Win

36%

Metz

2.78

27%

Draw

3.66

37%

Le Havre

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.6%

Away win

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Metz xG

Total xG

2.45

1.24

Le Havre xG

36%
27%
37%
MetzDrawLe Havre

2.78

36%

Home win

3.66

27%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

29%

Metz

3.44

30%

Le Havre

3.38

Win to Nil

10%

Metz

9.56

11%

Le Havre

9.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.6 10.6 6.6 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.5 12.9 8.0 3.3 1.0 0.3
2 6.4 7.9 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.6 3.2 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.219
λ Away (xG) 1.235
Total xG 2.454
League avg home goals 1.723
League avg away goals 1.199
Metz attack strength 0.708
Metz defence strength 1.083
Le Havre attack strength 0.951
Le Havre defence strength 0.999
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 39