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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 15 Feb 2026

16:15

Venue

Stade Saint-Symphorien

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Metz Win

38%

Metz

2.66

30%

Draw

3.28

32%

Auxerre

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

13.0%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Metz xG

Total xG

2.04

0.96

Auxerre xG

38%
30%
32%
MetzDrawAuxerre

2.66

38%

Home win

3.28

30%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.69

Clean Sheet

38%

Metz

2.62

34%

Auxerre

2.92

Win to Nil

14%

Metz

6.99

11%

Auxerre

9.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.0 12.6 6.1 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.0 13.5 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 7.5 7.2 3.5 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.7 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.072
λ Away (xG) 0.965
Total xG 2.037
League avg home goals 1.495
League avg away goals 1.199
Metz attack strength 0.743
Metz defence strength 1.262
Auxerre attack strength 0.637
Auxerre defence strength 0.966
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 21 / 55