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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sun 16 Mar 2025

14:00

Venue

Groupama Stadium

Competition

Ligue 1

France

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lyon Win

56%

Lyon

1.77

21%

Draw

4.75

23%

Le Havre

4.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.8%

Draw

2 – 0

7.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.16

Lyon xG

Total xG

3.48

1.32

Le Havre xG

56%
21%
23%
LyonDrawLe Havre

1.77

56%

Home win

4.75

21%

Draw

4.42

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

86%

Over 1.5

1.16

14%

Under 1.5

7.14

67%

Over 2.5

1.49

33%

Under 2.5

3.03

46%

Over 3.5

2.17

54%

Under 3.5

1.85

27%

Over 4.5

3.70

73%

Under 4.5

1.37

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.86

Clean Sheet

27%

Lyon

3.74

12%

Le Havre

8.66

Win to Nil

15%

Lyon

6.63

3%

Le Havre

38.31

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.1 4.1 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 6.7 8.8 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
2 7.2 9.5 6.3 2.7 0.9 0.2
3 5.2 6.8 4.5 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 2.8 3.7 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.159
λ Away (xG) 1.318
Total xG 3.477
League avg home goals 1.469
League avg away goals 1.378
Lyon attack strength 1.220
Lyon defence strength 0.872
Le Havre attack strength 1.097
Le Havre defence strength 1.205
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59